Tuesday, June 28, 2011

GAS PRICE UP DOWN 30% FROM 2010

Most of the media coverage about gas price lately is focused on the fact that they've fallen from a national average of $3.98 to $3.58 in about two months accordind to the AAA Dailey Fuell.
What's rarely mentioned is that the cost per gallon is still 30% higher than it was this time last year, when a gallon cost $2.75. The price has still been over $2.60 since march 2009 The recent run-up to nearly $4 only lasted seven months.
The real question with gas prices is how high is too high? The answer is that the economy might have been able to support the consumer and business impact of $2.75 gas prices when GDP was beginning to recover in the second half of 2010 and unemployment began to ease.

The case that the nation can accept what are still relative high prices gets harder and harder to make by the day. Unemployment improvement has stalled and more than 6 million people have been employed for over half a year. Many of those people already live on a shoe string. The cost to fill up a 15 gallon tank is $41. That might not seem like much unless the person who has to pay is out of work.
Even Americans who work still have trouble with gas prices in many cases. The cost of commuting over a month is about $200 for a 50-mile daily round trip commute. That doesn't include weekend travel. A family with a household income of $50,000 -- about the national median -- only nets $2,800 a month after taxes

Sunday, June 26, 2011

CHINA PUT EYES ON CANADA OIL


In the northern reaches of Alberta lies a vast reserve of oil that the U.S. views as a pillar of its future energy needs.

China, with a growing appetite for oil that may one day surpass that of the U.S., is ready to spend the dollars for a big piece of it.

The oil sands of this Canadian province are so big that they will be able to serve both of the world's largest economies as production expands in the coming years. But that will mean building at least two pipelines, one south to the Texas Gulf Coast and another west toward the Pacific, and that in turn means fresh environmental battles on top of those already raging over the costly and energy-intensive method of extracting oil from sand.

Most believe that both will eventually be built. But if the U.S. doesn't approve its pipeline promptly, Canada might increasingly look to China, thinking America doesn't want a big stake share in what environmentalists call "dirty oil," which they say increases greenhouse gas emissions.

Alberta has the world's third largest oil reserves, more than 170 billion barrels. Daily production of 1.5 million barrels from the oil sands is expected to nearly triple to 3.7 million in 2025. Overall, Alberta has more oil than Russia or Iran. Only Saudi Arabia and Venezuela have more.

Alberta is one of the few places where oil companies can invest, as the majority of the world's oil reserves are controlled by national governments. Only 22 percent of the total world reserves are accessible to private sector investment, 52 percent of which is in Alberta's oil sands, according to the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers.

Canada's only major oil export market is the U.S. But with the product of oil sands and pipeline delivery to the U.S. under perennial clouds of environmental objections, and with Asian demand growing, this country wants to diversify its market, and China is eager to oblige.

Sinopec, a Chinese state-controlled oil company, has a stake in a $5.5 billion plan drawn up by the Alberta-based Enbridge company to build the Northern Gateway Pipeline from Alberta to the Pacific coast province of British Columbia. Alberta Finance Minister Lloyd Snelgrove met this month with Sinopec and CNOOC, China's other big oil company, and China's largest banks.

"They are sitting there saying if you need money, we've got money; if you need expertise, we've got that; whatever you need we've got," Snelgrove said.

Alberta Premier Ed Stelmach said American government officials have expressed concern about a pipeline to the Pacific. They have raised it in terms of "Well, are you still going to be able to supply us?" he said.

That fear may already have fallen aside.

"There are people who still feel that one barrel of oil going from Canada to China could be one more barrel going to the United States. But those are people in the minority. It is a concern but it is not a big concern," said Wenran Jiang, a professor at the University of Alberta and a senior fellow of the Asia Pacific Foundation.

Stelmach said the U.S. will remain Canada's primary oil customer.

But aboriginal and environmental opposition to the Pacific pipeline is fierce. The opponents fear it will leak. The local member of Parliament, Nathan Cullen, says accidents are inevitable in the rough waters around Kitimat, British Columbia, where the pipeline will end. And no one has forgotten the Exxon Valdez oil spill of 1989, some 1,300 kilometers (800 miles) north of Kitimat.

However, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, freshly and convincingly re-elected, is an oil man who has suggested he supports building the pipeline. Also, Calgary-based Kinder Morgan has plans to expand an existing pipeline route to Vancouver so that oil can be shipped to Asia.

Source:Associated Press

Greek Premier Faces a Crucial Test


George Papandreou, Greece's American-born prime minister, faces a make-or-break week in which he seeks to steer a draconian austerity bill through Parliament in the face of a national strike and mass protests.

Success for Mr. Papandreou will earn Greece a fresh international bailout. Failure could leave Greece headed for bankruptcy within weeks and trigger financial turmoil with incalculable consequences for the euro currency area.

The center-left premier enters his test with a stronger position than two weeks ago, when his government nearly fell apart amid mounting national despair. His ruling Socialist party has rallied around him since he reshuffled his cabinet and reasserted his determination to close Greece's budget shortfall, despite rising anger on the streets.

At issue in parliamentary votes on Wednesday and Thursday are €28 billion ($40 billion) in spending cuts and tax increases, on top of existing austerity policies, which Greece has promised the European Union and the International Monetary Fund in return for greatly expanded financial aid.

Victory for the government would at least avert a Greek default in the short term—although it wouldn't cure the underlying problem of Greece's crushing debt burden, which could take years to resolve.

"As long as we continue to implement these reforms...I believe we will succeed," Mr. Papandreou said Friday. "And I believe the majority in the Greek parliament understands that." Many analysts agree the odds favor the premier, although a risk remains that his party's slim majority in parliament could crumble.

Two weeks ago, "everybody was expecting the end of Papandreou. Now he is back at the helm, and he has an opportunity to recover further if he shows decisiveness," said Yannis Stournaras, director of the Foundation for Economic and Industrial Research, an Athens think tank.

Yet critics say decisiveness doesn't always come easily to Mr. Papandreou, the 59-year-old scion of Greece's version of the Kennedy clan.

Source:(Wall Street Journal)

Friday, June 24, 2011

Oil above $92

Oil prices rose to above $92 a barrel Friday in Asia, clawing back some of the previous session's big losses as investors mulled the impact of the IEA's release of emergency crude supplies.

Benchmark oil for August delivery was up $1.16 to $92.18 a barrel at midday Singapore time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In London, Brent crude for August delivery was up 99 cents to $108.25 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

Crude fell $4.39 to settle at $91.02 on Thursday after the International Energy Agency said it will make 60 million barrels available over a 30-day period, half of which will come from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

Analysts said the move likely reflected increasing concern that the global economy is slowing, and that high oil prices exacerbate quickening inflation and tepid consumer demand.

Earlier this week, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke warned that the U.S. economy is weaker than previously forecast, and lowered this year's gross domestic product growth estimate to 2.9 percent from 3.3 percent.

The release of reserves also comes after OPEC declined to boost its production quotas at a meeting earlier this month.

Some observers were puzzled by the timing of the move since crude had already fallen from near $115 on May 2 and Libya's 1.6 million barrels a day of oil output have been shut down since February.

"The IEA's announcement appears to be nothing more than a well-timed public relations stunt designed to punish speculators," said Richard Soultanian of NUS Consulting. "The impact will be short-lived and the markets will quickly revert back to the pattern they have been following for the past months, which is closely following movements in the U.S. dollar."

When the dollar gains, crude tends to fall because a stronger U.S. currency makes commodities such as oil more expensive for investors with other currencies. When the dollar weakens, crude prices usually go up.

The euro was steady at $1.4257 on Friday after dropping Thursday.

In other Nymex trading in July contracts, heating oil rose 4.1 cents to $2.82 a gallon while gasoline gained 2.5 cents at $2.86 a gallon. Natural gas futures added 1.1 cents at $4.20 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Source:Associated Press

Massachusetts Developing Solar Farms on Old Landfills

Former municipal landfills in Massachuetts that have been covered and left unused for years are being eyed as locations for renewable energy production. State officials are encouraging local municipalities to consider turning the former dumps into solar farms.

According to the Massachusetts Department of Energy Resources, more than two-dozen communities across Massachusetts are in process to convert these eyesores into solar energy farms. The state’s Energy Secretary, Richard Sullivan, says that if developed correctly, these solar projects can help local residents reduce their energy bills and generate revenue for cities. Other than the short term cost of building a solar farm, the long term cost for a solar farm is very low as the cost of fuel for a solar farm is zero. On the other hand, approximately 80% of the total cost of fossil fuel energy facilities is due to fuel acquisition costs which is also subject to price volatility due to spikes in global demand. As a result, local residents will be able to access electricity at a lower rate over a longer period of time with much more price stability from a muncipally owned solar farm than with fossil fuel plants.

These solar farms also have tremendous value when factoring in Massachusetts’ Solar Renewable Energy Credits (SREC) system. A SREC represents 1 megawatt-hour of electricity generated from an eligible renewable energy source. Just like stocks, SRECs are sold on an open market at varying prices correlated to demand. Utilities need to buy a certain amount of these credits to comply with a state’s renewable energy requrements. Dwayne Breger, the director of the renewable energy division at the Massachusetts Department of Energy Resources says prices for the solar renewable energy certificates can go as high as $550, ten times that of other renewable energy credits. Solar farms can help in producing these SRECs in large for utilities to purchase in order to comply with the states renewable energy requirements. This in turn can provide an additional source of revenue for the local municipality with the solar farm.


Thursday, June 23, 2011

VIRTUAL SHOPPING IN 3D


Linda Smith walked on stage at the Spring 2011 Demo Conference in Palm Desert, Calif., on Feb. 28 and tried on clothes. Looking at herself in an interactive mirror, she tested out virtual dresses, handbags, and jewelry. The interactive "fitting room," called Swivel, is a mix of software created by her company, FaceCake Marketing Technologies of Calabasas, Calif., and a hacked 3D camera from Microsoft's MSFT Kinect gaming console.

Kinect started out as a controller-free gaming system, but developers such as FaceCake are writing new applications for the system's 3D camera. Kinect cameras essentially transform computers into two-way mirrors whose system can see users. One potential use of Kinect is making accurate 3D models of people to help them purchase everything from swimsuits to jeans online.


Tuesday, June 21, 2011

10 Rules for Surviving the Recession

Nearly every business has felt an impact from the recession. There has been no escaping. The root causes were universal and had a domino effect.

Some small-business owners believe they've seen the bottom and they are surviving -- they are OK and they expect to persevere with modest adjustments. These small-business owners are kidding themselves. The bottom has not been reached, and it will be a long slide until it does. We are in for a five- to 10-year disaster.

Make the right choices today and see the results tomorrow. It’s not just about adjusting prices -- you need to broadcast your differences, tell people why they should shop with you, provide them with added value, and not discounts, and watch your business grow in a down market.

Be a leader, and the people will follow. As a small-business owner, you can help lead the way out of the recession. Start with your employees, move to your vendors, and then support your customers and your market area. Announce the good news, and everyone will line up.

Here are 10 rules of engagement that will help you successfully recast your business and succeed in the new economy:

  1. Evaluate and eliminate excessive debt. If your revenues have dropped, you may not be able to service the debt you took on when your revenues were much higher. Any debt can be worked out -- secured debt, loans guaranteed by the Small Business Administration, mortgages, lines of credit, and even leases.
  2. Downsize. If you haven't already, reduce your headcount and overhead. You can deliver the same amount -- or more -- by increasing productivity.
  3. Track your finances daily -- and start today. Install a key indicator system to track your business and have daily, weekly and monthly financial reports issued. Follow profitability per job, per week, per client, per product. Use these indicators to focus on your most profitable products or services. Make nothing that does not bring in a profit.
  4. Reduce inventories and overhead at any cost. Look for items that does not move or turn frequently. That's where your cash is locked up -- in your cost of materials, labor, and so on, waiting to be turned into cash after it’s sold and the receivables collected. This can result in a huge cash drain.
  5. Train and cross-train your staff. If every job or task is learned by at least one additional person, when the primary person is out, the secondary person cross-trained to perform the task can leap in and save the day. And so work continues, and productivity remains high despite the absence of a key player. Smoother production, greater productivity and happier customers mean a better bottom line.
  6. Review your marketing and reduce spending on traditional media.Use the internet and focus on existing clients first; get more out of them. Internet marketing will save many companies.Consider what's called the long-tail theory, coined by Wired Magazine Editor-in-Chief Chris Anderson. In short, it means that there are folks on the internet making profitable hits of niche products, services and entertainment.
  7. Resist profit-eating sales and discounting. Don't give away your product; instead, compete with service, quality and uniqueness. Create a niche and have a competitive advantage. The big box stores cannot compete with you, especially on service. It's the small-business competitive advantage.
  8. Expand geographically if possible. Internet marketing can take you anywhere, especially if you can create an expertise or a niche item or service. Find what you do that is unique and do it as large as possible.
  9. Manage effectively. This means tracking and analyzing key indicators, financial reports and productivity. Get smaller first and more profitable; then grow slowly and carefully.
  10. Focus on quality. That’s what wins in the long run. Never forsake this principle.

Microsoft Kinect Lures Hackers

Matt Bell moves about an elevated podium in a conference room overlooking San Francisco's Market Street, using a camera on the Microsoft (MSFT) Kinect to snap photos of the podium from different angles. Bell, 31, has hacked into the machine—originally designed for playing games on Microsoft's Xbox gaming console—and is using it in sync with a personal computer. He's showing his creation to a crowd of 50 rapt software developers.

He aims to harness Kinect's 3D camera and sensors to craft software that can be used by real estate agents or people selling items on EBay (EBAY). Bell is among hundreds of programmers using the technology to build everything from games that help people cope with Parkinson's disease to tools that let robots detect obstacles.

"Hackers love to experiment with new technologies and see what is possible with them—and there is just so much that has become possible, thanks to the Kinect," Bell says. "The Kinect is the first consumer-level device that can see in 3D."

Some hackers can wreak havoc with gaming consoles and the systems connecting them, as Sony (SNE) learned after cyberattacks on the PlayStation network led to the theft of data on more than 100 million accounts. Hackers targeted Sony in April in retaliation for the company's effort to keep programmers from tinkering with its PlayStation 3. The incident may cost about 14 billion yen ($173 million). Nintendo, maker of the Wii gaming console, says it, too, was targeted in an online-data attack, although it lost no personal or company information.

Microsoft, by contrast, stands to benefit as developers such as Bell pave the way to wider use of its motion-sensing technology.

RECORD SALES FOR KINECT

The Kinect, which lets users play digital games with their bodies, is history's fastest-selling consumer electronic device, according to Guinness World Records. That's helping to boost demand for the Xbox: Sales in the unit that includes gaming consoles rose 14 percent to $1.9 billion in the March quarter, making up 12 percent of total company revenue and helping Microsoft compensate for weakness in its online division, as well as sluggish adoption of the new version of Windows for phones.

Microsoft Kinect Lures Hackers

Matt Bell moves about an elevated podium in a conference room overlooking San Francisco's Market Street, using a camera on the Microsoft (MSFT) Kinect to snap photos of the podium from different angles. Bell, 31, has hacked into the machine—originally designed for playing games on Microsoft's Xbox gaming console—and is using it in sync with a personal computer. He's showing his creation to a crowd of 50 rapt software developers.

He aims to harness Kinect's 3D camera and sensors to craft software that can be used by real estate agents or people selling items on EBay (EBAY). Bell is among hundreds of programmers using the technology to build everything from games that help people cope with Parkinson's disease to tools that let robots detect obstacles.

"Hackers love to experiment with new technologies and see what is possible with them—and there is just so much that has become possible, thanks to the Kinect," Bell says. "The Kinect is the first consumer-level device that can see in 3D."

Some hackers can wreak havoc with gaming consoles and the systems connecting them, as Sony (SNE) learned after cyberattacks on the PlayStation network led to the theft of data on more than 100 million accounts. Hackers targeted Sony in April in retaliation for the company's effort to keep programmers from tinkering with its PlayStation 3. The incident may cost about 14 billion yen ($173 million). Nintendo, maker of the Wii gaming console, says it, too, was targeted in an online-data attack, although it lost no personal or company information.

Microsoft, by contrast, stands to benefit as developers such as Bell pave the way to wider use of its motion-sensing technology.

RECORD SALES FOR KINECT

The Kinect, which lets users play digital games with their bodies, is history's fastest-selling consumer electronic device, according to Guinness World Records. That's helping to boost demand for the Xbox: Sales in the unit that includes gaming consoles rose 14 percent to $1.9 billion in the March quarter, making up 12 percent of total company revenue and helping Microsoft compensate for weakness in its online division, as well as sluggish adoption of the new version of Windows for phones.

Apple Shares Breaking Down

With eight trading days left to go in the month, it's pretty safe to say that June has not gone well for "the most important stock in the universe." At least that's how one friend of mine (OK, it was Macke) half-jokingly refers to Apple (AAPL).

Here are some stats to mull about the biggest technology and computer hardware company on Earth:

* Shares of Apple have fallen more than $50 since hitting an all-time high of $364.90 in mid-February. That's about $43 billion of evaporated market value -- or the equivalent of an Eli Lilly (LLY) disappearing into thin air. The slide to a seven-month low has not been abrupt or disorderly. In fact, there have been only three trading days since the February high that Apple dropped more than 2% in a single session.

* The stock has just broken below its 200-day moving average for the first time since September 2008.

* It is on track for its biggest one-month drop in three years.

* 94% of the 52 analysts who follow the stock currently rate it a buy, and it has topped EPS consensus estimates for at least 20 consecutive quarters and missed sales only once, according the FactSet data.